March 22, 2017
Inside Trading
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Kathy Lien

Kathy Lien is the Chief Currency Strategist at Forex Capital Markets LLC (FXCM). She is responsible for providing research and analysis for DailyFX, including technical and fundamental research reports, market commentaries and trading strategies. Prior to joining FXCM, Kathy was an associate at JPMorgan Chase, where she worked in cross-markets and foreign exchange trading.

She has vast experience within the interbank market using both technical and fundamental analysis to trade FX spot and options. She also has experience trading a number of products outside of FX, including interest rate derivatives, bonds, equities and futures.

Kathy has written for MarketWatch from Dow Jones, Active Trader, Futures and SFO magazines. She has taught currency trading seminars across the country, has appeared on CNBC and is frequently quoted on Bloomberg and Reuters.

Day Trading the Currency Market

Technical and Fundamental Strategies to Profit from Market Swings

This book is broken down into chapters ranging from a beginner's guide to terminology and the history of FX markets through to trading strategies, all of which briskly moves forward into more advanced and comprehensively fleshed out sub-sections. Filled with in-depth yet accessible information, thanks wholly to the author's no-nonsense writing style, Day Trading the Currency Market can show you how to enter this highly competitive arena with confidence and exit with profits.

Included with this book are two bonus items:

-The Beginner's Guide to Success in Today's FX Currency Markets

-Secret Forex Trading Techniques

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Day Trading the Currency Market



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Inside Trading features Kathy Lien this week. In her article, Kathy explains how central bank interventions can impact a currency pair’s price action, therefore creating profitable trading opportunities.

Next, Lee Gettess provides his perspective on both the S&P and the bond market for the coming week.

Russell Sands supplies the next piece about being careful when trading one market based on the price action of another market.

Last, Wendy Kirkland offers her Prime Entry Profits (PEP) Rally Newsletter.


Adrienne LaVigne
TradeWins Publishing


Fundamental Trading Strategy: Intervention

by Kathy Lien

The following is an excerpt from Kathy Lien's Day Trading the Currency Market

Intervention by central banks is one of the most important short-term and long-term fundamentally based market movers in the currency market. For short-term traders, intervention can lead to sharp intraday movements on the scale of 150 to 250 pips in a matter of minutes. For longer-term traders, intervention can signal a significant change in trend because it suggests that the central bank is shifting or solidifying its stance and sending a message to the market that it is putting its backing behind a certain directional move in its currency. There are basically two types of intervention: sterilized and un-sterilized. Sterilized intervention requires off-setting intervention with the buying or selling of government bonds. While un-sterilized intervention involves no changes to the monetary base to off-set intervention. Many argue that un-sterilized intervention has a more lasting effect on the currency than sterilized intervention.

Taking a look at some of the case studies, it is apparent that interventions in general are important to watch and can have large impacts on a currency pair’s price action. Although the actual timing of intervention tends to be a surprise, quite often the market will begin talking about the need for intervention days or weeks before the actual intervention occurs. The direction of intervention is generally always known in advance because the central bank will typically come across the newswires complaining about too much strength or weakness in its currency. These warnings give traders a window of opportunity to participate in what could be significant profit potentials, or to stay out of the markets. The only thing to watch out for, is that the sharp intervention-based rallies or sell-offs can quickly be reversed as speculators come into the market to fade the central bank.

Whether or not the market fades the central bank depends on the frequency of central bank intervention, the success rate, the magnitude of the intervention, the timing, and whether fundamentals support intervention. Overall though, intervention is much more prevalent in emerging market currencies than in the G-7 currencies since countries such as Thailand, Malaysia, and South Korea need to prevent their local currencies from appreciating too significantly such that the appreciation would hinder economic recovery and reduce the competitiveness of the country’s exports. The rarity of G-7 intervention makes the instances even more significant.

Fundamental Trading Strategy: Intervention


Lee Gettess' Market Sense

by Lee Gettess

Lee Gettess is a top trader who is excited to bring you his video newsletter. Each week, Lee will share his predictions on what he anticipates from the bond and S&P markets.

Watch Video


Intermarket Analysis and Correlation

by Russell Sands

The following is an excerpt from Russell Sands' Turtle Secrets

Many of you may already know my disapproval of looking at anything other than direct price action of the market you are trading; to say nothing of my contempt for some of the more ‘exotic’ indicators out there. Well, one of the hot new twists in technical analysis that vendors and system designers have come up with are indicators where the price of one market becomes a signal for a trade in another (related) one. The term in vogue days is ‘Intermarket Analysis’. What started out several years ago known simply as ‘Correlation’ has been carried to a whole new level. And needless to say, I think it’s been carried just a little bit too far.

One of the more ‘popular’ relationships that people look at these days is between the Bond market and the CRB Index. Traditional argument is that these two markets are negatively correlated, since the CRB is a proxy for inflation. If general commodity prices are rising, this means the overall economy is expanding, along with inflationary pressures, and thus the government will have to raise interest rates (bond prices go down) in order to keep the economy under control. On the other hand, if interest rates remain low (bond prices are high), this means we are still in the recessionary phase of the economic cycle, where we would expect commodity prices to be weak. And in fact, in the summer of 1990, a falling CRB Index kept me from selling a short-side breakout in bonds which ultimately was a false breakout, thus saving myself some money.

But are the Bonds and CRB really negatively correlated, or at least consistently enough to be able to use this information to make money trading? While these two markets did go in opposite directions for the second half of 1992, in the first half of that year they seemed to be going the same way. In fact, statistical testing on the computer revealed that the correlation coefficient between these two markets for the whole year 1992 was approximately zero.

Intermarket Analysis and Correlation


Prime Entry Profits (PEP)

by Wendy Kirkland

The following is an excerpt from Wendy Kirkland's Prime Entry Profits

Every day Wendy shares her “Prime Entry Profits” (PEP) Rally Newsletter. The following is her thought for the week, along with what she expects this week in trading.

Thought for the Week: Do you feel like everything works against you? You need to duck, dart and dash as protection from being whacked by what it places in your path. Or do you feel like you are in control, that you are the director or creator of the things that come into your life?

You are in control. What you focus your attention and energy on, is what you will get more of. Decide to live the life you would love living and direct your attention on who and what that is.

In Trading: The DOW dropped 200+ points, Nasdaq had a 90+ point drop, and S&P 25+ drop. Yesterday was the worst market day of the year in terms of negative numbers.

Earnings are still going on so please remember to check earnings dates on your trade candidates.

CIEN- Ciena Corp - P3.5
CSX- CSX Corp - P3
GDX- Van Eck Gold ETF - P3.5
KMB- Kimberly Clark - P3.5
M- Macy's - P3
SBUX- Starbucks - P3.5

To Learn More Click Here


PLEASE READ. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. There is a substantial risk of loss trading commodities, stocks, bonds and options with or without this or any other advertised product, service or system. Also hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under-or-over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown.