May 10, 2017
Inside Trading
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Rob Roy




Inspired by conversations with multi-millionaires on the golf course, Rob left his 13-year career as a PGA Golf Professional to enter the world of finance. In the process of getting his securities licenses Rob discovered options. And, using an innovative approach to proven strategies, he achieved astonishing results trading his own account.

As time went on, Rob felt compelled to help the down-trodden little guy. One thing lead to another and before long Rob found himself traveling around the world as an independent contractor giving seminars on his unique approach to winning 9-out-of-10 trades and earning triple-digit returns nearing 200% year after year.

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Inside Trading this week features Rob Roy. Rob explains how options react to a change in the stock price.

Lee Gettess brings us our next bit of insight with a video covering his market expectations for the next week.

Our third article is authored by Duane Davis who tells us how traders can benefit from the use of Fibonacci ratios.

Last, Chris Verhaegh presents his PULSE Options Weekly Newsletter.

Enjoy!

Adrienne LaVigne
TradeWins Publishing



 

Stock Price Movement

by Rob Roy

The following is an excerpt from Rob Roy's Option Axiom Rules Trading Course

The more time there is to expiration, the less sensitive the option is to stock price movement. The less time-to-expiration, the more sensitive the option is to stock price movement. The reason for this goes back to the Greek Gamma. The closer to expiration the option is, the more gamma – rate in change of delta, or sensitivity to price change – the option will have. The farther out in time, the less gamma the option will have. To understand the difference in sensitivity to stock price change, take a look at the graphs below.

The top graph is the March 2012 expiration 50 strike call that was bought for $1.45 ($145 per contract price). The bottom graph is the January 2013 expiration 50 strike call that was bought for $5.80 ($580 per contract). There are 28 days to expiration for the March contract and 334 days to expiration for the January contract.

The stock price moved from $50 per share to $55 per share. From that $5 move in the stock price the MAR 50 call made $370 of profit, while the JAN 50 call made only $300 of profit. The only difference between the two trades is the time to expiration, and the cost of each trade. The March 2012 options with only 28 days to expiration made a full $70 more than the January 2013. The truth of the two positions comes out when a trader takes a look at the return on the capital. The March 2012 50 strike call made 225% return, while the January 2013 50 strike call only made a 52% return. This difference in return on capital comes from the simple fact that the March expiration option has less time to expiration, therefore less cost as well. The closer to expiration options will react faster to a change in the stock price.

What is true for profiting in a trade is also true for losing on a trade. The nearer to expiration options do make money faster with a stock price in change. That also means they lose money faster if the stock was to move against them.

Stock Price Movement

 
 

Lee Gettess' Market Sense

by Lee Gettess

Lee Gettess is a top trader who is excited to bring you his video newsletter. Each week, Lee will share his predictions on what he anticipates from the bond and S&P markets.


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Fibonacci Ratios

by Duane Davis

The following is an excerpt from Duane Davis' DIY Success Package

The Fibonacci number sequence is a mathematical cycle that incorporates the expansion and contraction of all elements in nature, from the growth of the smallest leaf on Earth to the largest galaxy in the universe.

The Fibonacci number sequence was named after Leonardo of Pisa, also known as Fibonacci. Although this number sequence had been described earlier in the 6th century AD by the mathematician Virahanka, it’s best known today as The Fibonacci Sequence.

This cycle beings with the number 0. The next number is the number 1. Each following number is the sum of the two preceding numbers. To arrive at the third number in the sequence, the preceding two numbers are added together and the result is 0 + 1 = 1.

The fourth number in the sequence becomes 1 + 1 = 2.
The fifth number is 1 + 2 = 3.
The sixth number is 2 + 3 = 5.
The seventh number is 3 + 5 = 8.
The eighth number is 5 + 8 = 13.


There is no end to the sequence, it goes to infinity.

Fibonacci Ratios

 
 

PULSE Options Weekly Newsletter

by Chris Verhaegh

The following is an excerpt from Chris Verhaegh's PULSE Options Weekly Newsletter

Every week Chris publishes his “PULSE Options Weekly Newsletter”. The following is an excerpt from his most recent issue.

First Things First

I will start chronologically with the French Election. Last month voters in France went to the polls for the first round of their Presidential Election. Since no candidate received over 50% of the vote, the top two vote getters face each other in Sunday’s winner take all election.

While a shocking outcome may cause excess volatility, it is possible that the market reacts in sort of a “Buy Rumor, Sell the Fact” reversal of expectations. We should have the results of this election Monday morning before the markets open in the US.

Speaking of the US, let’s look at a chronological list of stocks releasing their Earnings next week. Understand this is not a complete list; it’s more of a list of the stocks with Earnings Announcements which warrant our attention.

Monday, May 8
After the Close: Tesoro Petroleum (TSO)


Tuesday, May 9
Before the Open: Duke Energy (DUK)
After the Close: Nvidia Corp (NVDA), Walt Disney (DIS), Priceline (PC)


Wednesday, May 10
After the Close: Whole Foods (WFM)


Thursday, May 11
Before the Open: Macy’s (M), Kohl’s Corp (KSS)


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PLEASE READ. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. There is a substantial risk of loss trading commodities, stocks, bonds and options with or without this or any other advertised product, service or system. Also hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under-or-over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown.